BULGARIAN ECONOMIC TOP NEWS DIGEST
WEEKLY REPORT ( 13 – 20 JUNE 2008 )
Sections/headline briefs:
MACROECONOMY:
· Bulgarian economy beats forecasts with 7% Q1 growth
· WB: Bulgaria 's economic growth stable
· Bulgaria needs a predictable business environment
· High inflation frustrates economy
· Bulgaria ranks 64th globally in terms of trade related tariff barriers
· Bulgaria ranks 4th in construction growth in EU
·
· Bulgaria 's pipeline politics: development of both South Stream and Nabucco projects
· Used cars form 84.1% of
·
· EU-US partnership and Bulgaria business climate conference held in Sofia
· OLAF to scrutinize Bulgaria over EU funds
· Bulgaria to lose �300 M annually from reduced greenhouse gas emission quotas in 2013-2020
· Director of meat processing companies: VAT on foods should be reduced
· Chairman of Bread Manufacturers Federation: Gray economy within bread production companies is due to high VAT on foods
· Turkish demand for Bulgarian wheat
· Some draft projects, others make protests
· Beer market underperforms in 2008
· Corporate culture still weak in Bulgaria
· Business angels come to Bulgaria
· There are no reasons for declaring emergency situation on freight transport market
· Bulgaria 's tourism revenue may treble to � 9 B per year by 2011
INVESTMENTS:
· Foreign Direct Investments in Bulgaria down to � 1.23 B in Jan-April 2008
· US investments in Bulgaria reach well over USD 1 B
· Investments in real estates increase in 2008
· Bulgarians invest � 400 M abroad
· Austria 's Cuubuus to invest �100 M in real estate projects in Ruse
·
· Bulgarian Tesy unveils � 2 M logistic terminal
· City of
· NEC of Japan looks for investment opportunities in Bulgaria
· US investors want Bulgarian nuclear plant
COMPANIES:
· Oil companies may rethink investment plans
· Bulgarian Air companies to fly directly to US
· Bulgargaz wants increased price of natural gas
· Auto distributor Balkan Star sees 20% rise in
· Holding Roads ready to finance Trakia motorway
· Navigation Maritime Bulgare privatization contract initialled
· Kremikovtzi steel mill employees seek state support to set up European company
·
· Irish Aer Lingus to start flights to Sofia
· Austrian waste management firm M-U-T enters Bulgaria
· French Dalkia to launch biomass-fired cogeneration unit in Varna
· Moststroy, Trace аmong bidders to build second metro diameter in Sofia
ANALYSIS:
· Report on Bulgaria - a storm in a tea kettle
·
Articles:
MACROECONOMY:
Bulgarian economy beats forecasts with 7% Q1 growth
The Bulgarian economy expanded by a surprising 7% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2008, the national statistical authority said on Monday. The GDP figure for the period under review is 13,483,500 levs at current prices or 1,760 levs per capita. Gross value added increased 7.6% The contribution to value added of the services industry is up 2.5% while the share of the industrial sector fell to 32.1%. The robustness of the German economy most probably accounts for the faster pace of export versus import growth as well as for the GDP growth in general, said Russia Stefanov from the local analytical
WB: Bulgaria 's economic growth stable
Improved harvests in
Bulgaria needs a predictable business environment
The Deputy Chairman of the American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham) in Bulgaria Anthony Hassiotis said that the members of the chamber would like to work in a transparent environment where the same rules apply to all, during the unveiling of an EU-US economic conference on Monday."We expect a predictable environment, which can exist solely if supported by a strong legal framework," Hassiotis said, adding "
High inflation frustrates economy
The average relative growth of consumer prices in Bulgaria since the start of 2008 (May 2008 compared with December 2007) is already 4.7%, data of the National Statistical Institute (NSI) show. Price growth on a yearly basis (May 2008 compared with May 2007) is 15%, data show. The consumer price index (CPI) for May 2008 compared to the previous month is 100.5%, i.e. monthly inflation is 0.5%. At the same time, the government forecast for the three-year period 2008-2010 shows that inflation for 2008 will amount to 6.9%. This means that almost 70% of the inflation set for 2008 is already a fact, and the autumn and winter inflationary period is still in the future. According to some estimates, real inflation for the poorest is approaching 20% (from 12.5% for 2007, official NSI data), while it is slightly more than 8% for the richest. If one takes into account the most pessimistic estimates that 50% of Bulgarians spend 70% to 80% of their income for food, then it turns out that for them, inflation amounts to almost 20% since the start of 2008, at official inflation rate of 4.7%. If the government tries to solve this problem with funds from the budget excess, increasing the size of social spending (pensions, relief funds, etc.) before the elections, this will give an additional impetus to the so-called food inflation. The growth in food prices should stimulate production of agricultural goods, but in Bulgaria , just the opposite has happened. Agricultural production declined in 2007. While total industry production is up 8.8% in April 2008 compared with April 2007, April's production rate has decreased by 0.7% from the preceding month.
Bulgaria ranks 64th globally in terms of trade related tariff barriers
Bulgaria ranks 4th in construction growth in EU
Only 16% of enterprises in
Bulgaria 's pipeline politics: development of both South Stream and Nabucco projects
The
Used cars form 84.1% of
Some 188,430 automobiles were imported in
Over 5000 visitors came to see the Bulgarian Pavilion during the first day of the World Exhibit in Saragosa, according to the Director of the Plovdiv Fair's press-center Katya Yaneva.EXPO 2008 began on June 14 and will continue until September 14. The expo's theme is "Water and Stable Development". 101 countries participate in the Saragosa exhibit."The best display so far", "I am glad to have become acquainted with a new country such as
EU-US partnership and Bulgaria business climate conference held in Sofia
The economic partnership between the European Union and the US and the business environment in Bulgaria are the topic of the conference organized by the American Chamber of Commerce and the German-Bulgarian Industrial Chamber Monday in Sofia .
The discussion focuses on competitive possibilities, investments, the EU funds absorption, access to financing, reduction of administrative obstacles and creation of new employment opportunities.Transportation Minister Petar Mutafchiev is presenting an analysis "Bulgaria 's EU membership and transatlantic collaboration - strong and competitive business through transparent access to financing".Other conference articipants include Fianace Minister Plamen Oresharski, the Minister of Regional Development and Public Works Asen Gagauzov, Labor Minister Emiliya Maslarova and Environmental Minister Dzhevdet Chakarov.
OLAF to scrutinize Bulgaria over EU funds
Till the end of 2008, OLAF will keep a close eye on
According to Minister Plugchieva, the EU membership is a crucial change and a big challenge in economic, political and social aspects, a change which can hardly be made without mistakes.
Bulgaria to lose �300 M annually from reduced greenhouse gas emission quotas in 2013-2020
According to unofficial information, Austrian metallurgy giant Voest Alpine has excluded Bulgaria from the short list of countries in which the company carries out studies regarding investing in green-field projects, Politimi Paounova, Managing Director of the Branch Chamber of Ferrous and Non-Ferrous Metallurgy told a news conference on Wednesday. one of the reasons is the lack of sufficient carbon dioxide trading quotas, which the European Commission could extend to
Director of meat processing companies: VAT on foods should be reduced
It is normal to reduce the VAT on foods having in mind the obvious jump of prices, Svetla Chamova, Executive Director of the Association of Meat Processing Companies said in an interview for FOCUS News Agency. According to Chamova, Reducing VAT would keep the prices of ready products at their current level, which would be beneficial for consumers.
Chairman of Bread Manufacturers Federation: Gray economy within bread production companies is due to high VAT on foods
The gray economy in bread production companies is mainly due to the high VAT on foods, since it is the gray economy companies that sell at much lower prices compared to companies with legal activity, Dimitar Lyudiev, Chairman of the Federation of Bread Manufacturers in
Turkish demand for Bulgarian wheat
Turkish traders are coming up with purchase offers for Bulgarian rapeseed and wheat at, respectively, 400 euro and 200 euro per ton without taxes, said Krasimir Avramov, chairman of the local association of grain producers. The Bulgarian farmers are currently unable to hook up the Turkish buyers because the local harvest season is just getting underway. The early indications from the barley harvest in the Dobrudja region are for a yield of 4,200 kg/ha. The average yields in the
Some draft projects, others make protests
Meanwhile, about one hundred farmers gathered again in front of the Agriculture Ministry, insisting for a minimum purchase price of milk of EUR0.40, release of the suspended subsidies and of the money promised by the Government because of the poor crop last year. Moreover, protesters demand value added tax (VAT) on investments in agriculture to be refunded within a month, as well as amendments to the Excise Duty Act, ensuring eased terms for the purchase of fuels needed for cultivation of agricultural land. Instead of explaining to the excited milk producers they are not spacemen entitled to special preferences, that neither the State nor the European Union are charity organizations and they provide financial assistance against strictly set terms, Agriculture Minister Valeri Tsvetanov announced that a national strategy for the development of milk and meat production would be prepared, BGN16MN would be released to help farmers due to the poor harvest and another BGN3MN to assist stock-breeding. In a far more professional style the new Agribusiness Council with the Agriculture Ministry, set up during the week, tabled the issue for reducing VAT on foods below the currently effective 20 per cent. Branch organizations represented in that body will collect data for the tax rates on foodstuffs in European countries and will specify the proposal for the VAT reduction in our country.
Beer market underperforms in 2008
The rainy spring season in
Corporate culture still weak in Bulgaria
Only 10% of
Business angels come to Bulgaria
The concept of business angels is still rather exotic in
In 2008, there are already more than 300 such networks worldwide.
There are no reasons for declaring emergency situation on freight transport market
There are no reasons for declaring of emergency situation on the market of the freight transport director of the National Transport Policy Directorate Dimitar Savov said at a press conference at the Bulgarian Ministry of Transport, Focus New Agency reporter informed. According to Savov there is no reason to declare emergency situation on the market even in close future. According to him cargo transportation in the last seven years was increased double.
Bulgaria 's tourism revenue may treble to � 9 B per year by 2011
INVESTMENTS:
Foreign Direct Investments in Bulgaria down to � 1.23 B in Jan – April 2008
According to preliminary data released by the Bulgarian National Bank, foreign direct investment in Bulgaria for the January – April 2008 period amounted to EUR 1228.2 million (3.7% of GDP) compared to EUR 1437.6 million (5% of GDP) attracted in January – April 2007. The attracted equity capital (acquisition/disposal of shares and equities in cash and contributions in kind by non-residents in/from the capital and reserves of Bulgarian enterprises and receipts/payments from/for real estate deals in the country) for January – April 2008 amounted to EUR709.9 million, which was 57.8% of the foreign direct investment. This is down by EUR 95.2 million compared to that attracted in the same period of 2007 (EUR 805.1 million). Receipts from real estate investments of non-residents amounted to EUR 471.2 million compared to EUR 507.3 million for January – April 2007. The attracted equity capital on privatization deals with non-residents (that have acquired over 10% of the equity in a Bulgarian enterprise) reported in January – April 2008 did not increase, compared to an increase of EUR 1.4 million in January – April 2007. The attracted equity capital on non-privatization deals totaled EUR 709.9 million in the reporting period, compared to EUR 803.8 million for the same period in 2007. The other capital, net (the change in the net liabilities of the direct investment enterprise to the direct investor on financial loans, suppliers’ credits and debt securities) was positive, amounting to EUR 361.9 million in January – April 2008, compared to a net other capital, amounting to EUR 522.7 million in the same period of 2007. According to preliminary data, the reinvested earnings (the share of non-residents in the undistributed earnings/ loss of the enterprise) in January – April 2008 are estimated at EUR 156.5 million compared to EUR 109.7 million in the same period of the previous year. By country, the largest investments in Bulgaria for the reporting period were those of Greece (12.7% of the total foreign direct investment), the Luxembourg (12%) and the Netherlands (10.2%). According to preliminary data in January – April 2008 Direct investment abroad increased by EUR 407.6 million compared to an increase of EUR 34.7 million in January – April 2007. The invested equity capital abroad in 2008 amounted to EUR 404.4 million, compared to EUR 56.4 million in January – April 2007.
US investments in Bulgaria reach well over USD 1 B
The US rank higher and higher in the list of countries with most investments in Bulgaria totaling over USD 1 B for 2007, according to Borislav Boyanov, President of the American Chamber of Commerce.Bynov spoke before Darik radio Tuesday.In addition, the USD 1 B does not include all investments such as the purchase of the Bulgarian Telecommunication Company (BTC) by AG Capital Partners, a deal worth over EUR 1 B itself.If all investments, outside the official data were to be included, the US would move 2 to 3 ranks ahead in the list of countries investing in Bulgaria .Boyanov reminded about the meeting between Bulgarian President Georgi Parvanov and US President George W. Bush several years ago when it was concluded that while the political relations between the two countries were at their highest peek, there was a lot to wish regarding economic relations."A lot positive had happened in the last several years in economic relations between Bulgaria and the US and we are very optimistic about the future. Of course Bulgaria 's NATO and EU memberships, the 10% corporate tax, the agreement for joint military facilities of the US and Bulgaria have contributed a great deal", Boynov explained."The daily turnover of goods and services between the US and the EU is over USD 2 B and Bulgaria is definitely part of it", according to the American Chamber of Commerce President."The EU is the most important US strategic partner and the EU joining of Bulgaria is of primary importance since it guarantees political and economic stability and predictability in both countries relations", Boyanov continued.The Camber President further explained that the world economy crisis and its global consequences did not affect any essential aspects of the Bulgarian - US economic relations. The US investors keep coming because Bulgaria is among those so-called emerging markets, continuing to create favorable business conditions.Some small investors such as the British began withdrawing from the real estate market in Bulgaria while for US investors there is no noticed withdrawal. one of the reasons, according to Boyanov, is the fact that US investors in the country are all big companies.The American Chamber of Commerce is hoping that more and more small and medium US businesses would become interested in Bulgaria since those companies are the backbone of the US economy and Bulgarian small and medium businesses would benefit from collaborating with them.The finance crisis in the US , on the other hand-side, had created opportunities for Bulgarian investments in the US with some Bulgarian companies seriously considering those opportunities.
Investments in real estates increase in 2008
A recent survey conducted upon the request of the real estate investment company Karrat Group Ltd. shows that more real estate purchases are planned for 2008 as compared to last year. Several factors contribute to this favorable development. First, a report by UniCredit Group suggests that there is still real estate shortage in Central and
Bulgarians invest � 400 M abroad
The Bulgarian investments abroad increased nearly 12 times and reached 407,6 million euro in the first four months of 2008. They stood at 34,7 million euro in the corresponding period of 2007. The foreign investments keep on decreasing and
Austria 's Cuubuus to invest �100 M in real estate projects in Ruse
Austrian construction and engineering company Cuubuus plans to invest 100 million euro ($155 million) in two real estate projects in
Italian gas and water utility Enel, owner of the Maritsa Iztok 3 thermal power in Southern Bulgaria, will team up with Gruppo Ciccolella to develop a rose production site in the
Bulgarian Tesy unveils � 2 M logistic terminal
Bulgarian heating appliances manufacturer Tesy, based in the northeastern town of
City of
The Svilengrad municipality is primed to take a stab at the energy business with the announced plans for a power generation partnership with a private investor.The economic committee of the municipal council has accepted the proposal of Sofia-based Regent Capital to set up a joint limited liability company, Svilengrad Energy, for the production of solar power.Svilengrad Energy will build a 5MW photovoltaic power plant.The municipality will provide a 12.3 ha site for the project in the area of the Siva Reka village.The land asset will comprise 25% of Svilengrad Energy's capital.This is the second solar power project announced in the area in less than a year.The Solar Hold company plans to invest 250 mln euro in the construction of 10 solar plants near the
NEC of Japan looks for investment opportunities in Bulgaria
The President of the State Agency for Information Technologies and Communications (SAITC), Plamen Vachkov, met with NEC c/o Tasuya Mori in Sofia on Thursday, the Agency said in a press release.Vachkov familiarized his guest with the good business climate in Bulgaria attracting foreign direct investments and the excellent opportunities the information and communication technologies sector can offer in this respect. He stressed that the development of the sector is one of the government's priorities. It has well established traditions and highly qualified specialists, Vachkov said.Mori said that NEC is interested in expanding its operation outside Japan pointing out that European and the new members of the European Union in particular, Bulgaria included, are the most attractive in this respect.Vachkov assured Mori that the Japanese companies engaged in the area of information and communication technologies are welcome to invest in Bulgaria and that they can rely on the SAITC support and assistance.
US investors want Bulgarian nuclear plant
COMPANIES:
Oil companies may rethink investment plans
Rising oil prices on a worldwide scale are an increasingly worrying issue for oil companies and especially fuel retailers. In
Such trends are not favourable for possible new players on the retail fuel market. Rumour has it that one of the large fuel companies intends to withdraw from
Bulgarian Air companies to fly directly to US
Bulgarian air companies will be able to fly directly to USA.This became possible after Bulgaria received a certificate for a higher category under the Safety program of the US Federal aviation administration (FAA).A representative of FAA handed the document to Bulgarian prime minister Sergei Stanishev in the Washington Media Museum Newreum.
In the presence of PM Stanishev, the minister of foreign affairs Ivaylo Kalfin and the US state secretary John Negroponte the two countries signed an agreement for cooperation in the field of prevention of the distribution of weapons for mass destruction and fostering of the relations in the military and defense fields.The Bulgarian ministry of interior and the US department on energy signed a memorandum for understanding for cooperation in the prevention of illegal traffic of nuclear and other radioactive materials.
Bulgargaz wants increased price of natural gas
Bulgargaz has demanded that the price for public supply of natural gas in the third quarter of 2008 be 19.60 per cent higher than the current price. The distributor has submitted a proposal to this effect to the State Commission for Energy and Water Regulation. The proposed price is 494.67 leva/1,000 cubic meters, exclusive of VAT. Despite the unfavorable international conditions, the price proposed by Bulgargaz remains one of the lowest in the EU and lower than the prices in neighboring countries. Speaking in Bourgas, political analyst Ivan Krustev said it is very important for Bulgaria to have an energy strategy envisaging different options of fuel prices. The Government is currently working with one optimistic option, envisaging that the price of crude oil will be below 100 US dollars per barrel, Krustev said at a seminar on the processing and pricing of oil products, organized by the Lukoil refinery. According to Krustev, the price of oil will increase in the next year and a half. He cited the complicated situation in the Middle East and the forecast that there will not be a sharp appreciation of the US dollar or a significant increase of oil extraction, only growing demand.Transport Minister Peter Moutafchiev reiterated Monday that the excise duty for fuels will remain unchanged until the end of 2009 and the government is committed to this without going counter the EU requirements. Commenting the renewed protests of fuel motorists and fuel producers, he said that a working group with the government will be meeting June 17 organizations which are directly or indirectly affected by the situation on the fuel market and will propose to the government an action plan.
Auto distributor Balkan Star sees 20% rise in
Local group Balkan Star Automotive, the Bulgarian distributor of auto makers Mercedes, Chrysler, Jeep, Dodge, Mitsubishi and Setra, has invested 7 mln euro to launch in
Holding Roads ready to finance Trakia motorway
Navigation Maritime Bulgare privatization contract initialled
The draft privatization contract for the sale of a 70 per cent stake in the Navigation Maritime Bulgare EAD shipping company with German consortium KG Maritime Shipping for 440,100,000 leva (225,000,000 euro) was initialled on Tuesday, the Privatisation Agency (PA) said.The draft will go shortly before the PA Supervisory Board for approval, after which it will be submitted for approval to the Council of Ministers as well.
Kremikovtzi steel mill employees seek state support to set up European company
Kremikovtzi steel mill employees staged a protest in
The heating utility of Sofia "Toplofikazia" has a BGN 15 M balance loss for 2007, according to the financial analysis of the municipal companies in the capital.Last year the heating utility had revenue of BGN 356 M and debts in the amount of BGN 313. Among other municipal companies, the notorious firm "Sofia Properties" had a balance profit of BGN 930 000. However the municipality gives the company a poor mark and proposes that the company's previous leadership was not relieved from responsibility about "Sofia Properties" dealings.Another notorious municipal company "Tramcar" ended 2007 with a loss of BGN 530 000. The recommendations here also include keeping the company's leadership responsible and requesting from the new one to prepare a remedial plan for 2008.The company "Galateya", managing student vacation camps also received a negative financial mark. The company ended 2007 with a loss of BGN 408 000 compared to the profit of BGN 31 000 in 2006.Transportation companies and the company "Parkings and Garages" received a positive financial mark.The "Egida" security company received recommendations to reconsider the ways for contract signing. In addition, the recommendations include taking the horse base of the security guards for "Borisova Gradina" (Sofia 's main park) from the company's capital and including them in the capital of the company "Sports Sofia". "Egida" had a profit of BGN 97 000 in 2007, compared to BGN 61 000 in 2006.
Irish Aer Lingus to start flights to Sofia
The Irish company Aer Lingus will start direct flights to Sofia from Dublin on October 28th, 2008, according to Irish publication "Irish Times".The Dublin-based carrier will fly twice a week to the city, which is its second destination in Bulgaria .The airline already flies from Dublin to Burgas on the Black Sea during the summer.
Austrian waste management firm M-U-T enters Bulgaria
Austrian waste management company M-U-T has entered
French Dalkia to launch biomass-fired cogeneration unit in Varna
French Dalkia will launch a biomass-fuelled co-generation capacity in its heating utility in the Black Sea city of Varna , Bulgaria . The 4.8-MW co-generation swallowed over 4.0 mln Bulgarian levs ($3.17 mln/2.05 mln euro) and will significantly cut the utility’s dependence on natural gas. It will start operations in November 2008. The heating utility Toplofikatsia Varna was renamed Dalkia Varna after becoming 100-pct owned by the French company, said its director Iliya Nikolaev. In about a month Dalkia Varna will finish a basic survey on the Biomass project aiming to measure the efficiency of straw, wood and other energy crops used for heating production. According to Nikolaev, Dalkia Varna will need 10,000 tonnes of straw annually to generate 15-20 MW of heating energy, or 20 pct of its total heating output. Dalkia plans to cement its presence on the energy services market. It has signed a five-year energy management contract with Mall Varna for full-servicing of energy, cooling and air conditioning systems.
Moststroy, Trace аmong bidders to build second metro diameter in Sofia
Metrotrace, a group of companies comprising Trace Group Hold, SB Engineering and Trace Sofia, is one of the of the candidates that have submitted an offer in the procedure for the construction of the second metro diameter in Sofia.Another public company will also take part in the procedure in alliance with other partners. This is Moststroy, which has submitted an offer jointly with Hochtief and Glavbolgarstroy.The remaining five candidates include
ANALYSIS:
Report on Bulgaria - a storm in a tea kettle
Author: Martin Karbovski, Publication: Standart Daily
Prognoses in Bulgaria have never been very reliable. They range between exulted optimism and total pessimism, whereas the truth is always somewhere in between. The Bulgarian politicians have always used prognoses-making in one and the same way, depending in the position they are in. If, for example, a politician is vested with power, he is very likely to readily sink the boat that his partners and he are in, but will not give up the rule at any cost. Which is worse, when a Bulgarian politician is in opposition, he will sink the whole state, so as to ascend to power. Brussels , however, sees things a little bit differently. Nobody wants to cause a tempest in a teakettle, however much we, the always-pessimistic Bulgarians, may want it. In this line of thoughts, the prognoses for Bulgaria 's death in the EU are grossly exaggerated, including the haunting threat of a shameful excommunication. Without ignoring the risk that such prognoses may carry, we still should think logically - Bulgaria cannot be excluded from the processes going on in the EU and, being a new member state and a rather confused one, the country is treated with a good dose of benevolence, just like Italy was some tome ago. Point of fact, Italy still presents a serious challenge to the EU regulations. Many Bulgarians just wants some good guys to come and shoot the bad guys down. But this was Moscow 's way. Brussels methods are radically different, gentlemen!We have a better prognosis for PM Stanishev - actually there is no serious risk of protective clause for two reasons - so far nobody had made such thing and nobody knows how such measure will affect the stability of the union. After the referendum in Ireland Bulgaria turns out to be the problem of the ghetto when the city encounters problems. The EC would not like to have instability in a country as Bulgaria - after all we are situated on the Balkans, in the time of serious fuel crisis and at the same time we have an important economic growth. In view of its bureaucratic tranquility Brussels should have to eat the sour apple or otherwise risks to get the poisoned one. Another prognosis - depriving of Bulgaria 's sovereignty, won't happen. Meaning that Bulgaria won't be forced down to change its cabinet. The first reason is the real economic growth. The second is more important - the political factors to come are still unknown to Brussels . They prefer the known evil rather than a new one.And last, but not least - another plus for Stanishev, which remains difficult to understand for many rightists, is that Europe considers him a democrat.Of course, if you expect a favourable report on July 23, you'll be disappointed.Brussels will do its best to specify the problems with the EU funds' disbursement and will freeze the sums under almost all funds and programs. The commission is not interested in the ruling figures, its concern is that the allotted money shouldn't be misappropriated.And if tomorrow (but not later) the ruling triple coalition in Bulgaria ceases stealing funds, it has all the chances not only to survive, but to even keep a serious resource of influence till next year. According to Brussels , an uncompromising report with concrete criticism is a more effective move than triggering a safeguard clause but with unclear results.There's another sign for this, as well - OLAF increase their representatives in Bulgaria (from one person they increase them to 25). This means that they are still willing to work with Bulgaria and discuss the problems. The check-up is a form of trust.All the rest is a scarecrow, used by the opposition which once again failed to make the right move. This will be proved if we turn to be right in our forecasts.
Author: Iva Doneva, Publication: SeeNews
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