BULGARIAN ECONOMIC TOP NEWS DIGEST
WEEKLY REPORT ( 12 - 19 SEPTEMBER 2008 )
Sections/headline briefs:
MACROECONOMY:
· Bulgarian economy grows by 7.1% in January-July
· Inflation reached 13,8%
· Prime ministers of Russia and Bulgaria discuss energy projects
· Deputy Economy Minister Yaneva back from official visit to China
· Bulgarian, Italian, Greek business organizations to interact
· Bulgarian windfarms to produce 500 MW electricity by the end of 2010
· Bulgaria takes 68th place on economic freedom
· Bulgaria is 18th on speed and quality of internet services
· Bulgarian hotel enters world's top 100
· Bulgaria ranks third in EU in terms of labor cost growth in Q2
·
·
· PM: Bulgaria is stable amidst global financial crisis
· FM: Crisis on world financial markets has limited effect in Bulgaria
· Wholesale food prices: statistics, trends
· Farmers call for BGN 378 M plus 2009 EU subsidies
· Portuguese agriculture minister visits Bulgaria
· Tobacco production increases in 2008
· National Construction Control Directorate authorizes usage of ferry complex in Nikopol
· The sex industry in Bulgaria generates �1 billion income
· New tenders for cancelled road projects
· Railroad carrier BDZ to receive � 613.6 M state aid until 2013
· EU subsidizes Bulgaria's business with BGN 185 M
· Bulgarian fruit production comes out the crisis
INVESTMENTS:
· Green energy investments to top �500 М
· PM says: Bulgarian FDI in past three years was �15 B
· Greek Titan Group may pour �200 M into Lovech plant
· Greek firm to build logistic park in
· French Montuper to build plant in Rousse
· Agria Group Holding to invest � 25 M
· Bulgaria to invest in small airports
· Willbrook to put �40 M in
· Lomsko Pivo to invest BGN 3.5 million
· Denmark 's Brunata Bulgarian unit plans to build �2 M plant for heating substations
· German electrical equipment manufacturer Eichhoff opens �2.4 M plant in
· US financial crisis may attract non-transparent investors in Bulgaria
· US army awards $61 M project for construction at Novo Selo training area
· Portugal's Martifer Renewables to develop wind parks in Bulgaria
· Volvo opens new BGN 2.8M maintenance centre in Bourgas
COMPANIES:
· Globul rolls out Samsung’s iPhone rival
· Deutsche Bank acquires nearly 30% of Postbank
· Bulgaria 13 companies included in Deloitte CE Top 500 ranking
· Visitors of EXPO 2008 interested in Bulgaria
· Every third firm in Bulgaria involved in grey economy
· Over 130 companies to participate in BalPex
· Bulgaria creates new energy giant
ANALYSIS:
· Bulgaria pays through the nose for high profits
- Bulgarians not concerned about Russia’s role as an energy provider, survey shows
Articles:
MACROECONOMY:
Bulgarian economy grows by 7.1% in January-July
Inflation reached 13,8%
Inflation in
Prime ministers of Russia and Bulgaria discuss energy projects
Russia 's Prime Minister, Vladimir Putin will discuss large-scale energy projects with his Bulgarian counterpart Sergey Stanishev. Both will meet in Sochi on Thursday. Putin invited Stanishev to his favourite residence - the Riviera in the Black Sea resort. They will discuss the energy projects Bourgas- Alexandroupolis, South Stream and the construction of Belene NPP. The two prime ministers will not be alone in Riviera . A deputy PM, a minister and a deputy minister will accompany Vladimir Putin. Stanishev will be in the company of Bulgaria 's Ambassador to Moscow , Plamen Grozdanov, Deputy Minister of Economy and Energy, Yavor Kuyumdjiev and Foreign Ministry Russia expert Maya Draganova. The two delegations will discuss the development and enhancement of the Bulgarian-Russian relations, as well as the organization of the Year of Russia in Bulgaria and the Year of Bulgaria in Russia .It is expected that Putin will treat his Bulgarian guests to a cup of tea. The Rusian PM and his Bulgarian counterpart will meet on the eve of the Seventh International Investment Forum, which starts on Friday in Sochi .Putin will open the conference which will be attended by 10,000 businessmen from 36 states. Representatives of 50 Bulgarian companies will join the forum.On Friday the Russians will explain the possibilities for investments in Sochi connected with the forthcoming Winter Olympic Games in 2014.
Deputy Economy Minister Yaneva back from official visit to China
Deputy Economy and Energy Minister Anna Yaneva returned Tuesday from an official visit to China after participating in the 12th edition of the China International Fair for Investment and Trade (CIFIT) in Xiamen , China , her ministry said. At the fair Bulgaria was represented by an information stall of InvestBulgaria Agency.This year's edition of CIFIT, which featured more than 100 participating countries and a record number of foreign guests - 13,685 - was unveiled by Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan.In her capacity as Co-Chair of the Bulgarian-Chinese Intergovernmental Commission for Economic Cooperation Yaneva conferred with the Vice Minister of Commerce Jiang Zhengwei; Su Zengtian, vice governor of the provincial government of Fujian, Zhejiang Province Vice Governor Jin Deshui and the Director General of the Zhejiang Provincial Economic & Trade Commission, as well as with representatives of business circles.The sides discussed opportunities for increasing Chinese investments in Bulgaria and balancing two-way trade.
Bulgarian, Italian, Greek business organizations to interact
Bulgarian, Italian and Greek business organizations will interact to improve the trade and
economic relations between businesses in the three countries thanks to a cooperation agreement signed Tuesday between the chambers of commerce in Aitoloakarnania, Ionannina and Thesprotia in Greece , in Brindisi , Italy and the Bulgarian Industrial Association (BIA), BIA said in a press release. The business organizations will help small and medium-sized enterprises in the three countries by providing information and services to start and develop trade. Support will be provided to traditional local producers, for ensuring competitive conditions for development, young entrepreneurship, promoting trans-border trade. A network is to be set up for international cooperation between agencies, people and organizations of the three countries to promote business.
Bulgarian windfarms to produce 500 MW electricity by the end of 2010
By the end of 2010 windfarms in Bulgaria will generate between 400 and 500 MW of electric power, the Chairman of the Association of Ecological Energy Producers Velizar Kiryakov said Monday. In his words, the association's long-term forecast indicates that in 2015 the electricity generated by this type of power plants will be around 1,000 MW and will reach 2,500-3,000 MW in 2020. Bulgaria currently has windfarm capacity to produce 105 MW. Kiryakov added that the electricity generated by using solar panels currently amounts to about 2 MW. The buyout price of this electric power is high because of the large investments of between 4,500 and 5,000 euro per kW. In the case of windfarms the investment per kW stands at 1,500 euro.Some 20 million euro have been invested to date in complete renewable energy source projects, Kiryakov said. he explained that expectations are that next year some 500 million euro will be invested in windfarms and about 100 million euro in solar plants.The electric power from renewable sources is cheaper but because of the high transmission fee it practically remains unused by ordinary consumers. Kiryakov added that the current transmission fee per 1 MWh is 8.20 leva, plus another 5.10 leva per MWh for access to the grid. In his opinion, electric power from renewable energy sources should be free of transmission fee.
Bulgaria takes 68th place on economic freedom
Bulgaria is 18th on speed and quality of internet services
Bulgarian hotel enters world's top 100
A Bulgarian hotel ranks among the 100 best hotels in the world: Hotel RIU Helios in
Bulgaria ranks third in EU in terms of labor cost growth in Q2
Bulgarian vine-growers will get as of 2009 subsidies covering up to 80 pct of the premiums of land insurance to learn to look after their produce, said the deputy head of the agriculture fund Angel Kinanov. The government will hand out 6.2 mln levs of aid next year and increase the volume to 10.6 mln levs within five years. The total amount planned is 112 mln euro. Vine-growers may insure land plots against hail, storm, fire, flood and frost. The state will also distribute 1.5 mln euro for advertising of Bulgarian wines in third countries. The figure will grow to 2.6 mln euro by 2013.
The Bulgarian government is mulling over lowering the taxes on some goods including pharmaceuticals, the head of InvestBulgaria Agency, the country's investment promotion authority, Stoyan Stalev said.Stalev added that the corporate tax and the flat tax rate on personal income will not be changed in the coming years.The Finance Ministry, however, has been strongly opposed to tax cuts, saying a lower value-added tax rate would tip the scales in favour of some sectors at the expense of others. Drug makers call for a tax rate of five to nine per cent. Value-added tax in
PM: Bulgaria is stable amidst global financial crisis
Bulgaria 's Prime Minister Sergey Stanishev stated Wednesday that the country's economy remained stable amidst the continuing global financial crisis.In his words, Bulgaria 's economic growth of 7% in the first six months of 2008 was unique in the context of the stagnation in the EU. "In the last few days we a collapse in the largest financial markets in the world - the USA , the EU, Russia . However, for the time being, Bulgaria is not being affected by this crisis in any significant way", the Prime Minister said.He added this confirmed the success of the government, which had managed to preserve the stability of the country's currency and financial system as well as people's savings and income. During the ceremony for the opening of the new academic year in the Southwestern University "Neofit Rilski" in the city of Blagoevgrad , Stanishev also emphasized that the foreign investments in the country were on a pretty decent level, and that many of them went into the manufacturing. There was only a drop in the real estate investments but the PM explained this with the real estate crisis in the USA and the EU.
FM: Crisis on world financial markets has limited effect in Bulgaria
The crisis on the world financial markets is affecting the Bulgarian financial market but not to such a big extent, Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ivailo Kalfin told journalists on Tuesday. The Bulgarian financial market possesses enough incentives and engines, capacity and instruments, he added. Forty-five new issues have been released on the Bulgarian Stock Exchange since the beginning of the year. Such a great number of new issues is reported only on the stock exchanges in
Wholesale food prices: statistics, trends
The price of cooking oil continued to decrease in the past week reaching 2.87 leva/1 l. In August a litre of cooking oil cost more than 3 leva, the State Committee for Commodity Exchanges and Wholesale Markets said.The price of sugar, flour and eggs edged down, while rice, frozen poultry and sausages increased slightly. No big changes were observed in the prices of fruit and vegetables with the exception of red peppers which increased by about 10 per cent to 1.20 leva/kg and water melons, by about 15 per cent.The curve of the index of wholesale food prices as at mid-September repeats the trends observed in past years. The index increases in the first four months of the year peaking in April after which it dips, reaching the lowest levels in the last week of August. The stabilization and reduction of the prices of some of the goods in May-June 2008 is reflected in the 6 per cent reduction of the index. The curve of the index fluctuated more markedly in July and August. In July the index increased by 2 per cent, after which it edged down to reach its lowest level this year of 1.667 points in the last week of August, attributed to the decreasing prices of cooking oil, poultry, fruit and vegetables.As a rule, the index in previous years reached its lowest levels in July and August as a result of the tangible reduction of prices of seasonal goods, after which it edged up. In 2008 the minimum level of the index was reported in the last week of August. on account of the lasting increase of food prices in the second half of 2007 and the first six months of 2008, the index in this period grew constantly, with an overall increase of its values of 28 per cent. In the first weeks of September the index increased slightly and leveled off in the middle of the month at 1.707 points.
Farmers call for BGN 378 M plus 2009 EU subsidies
Portuguese agriculture minister visits Bulgaria
Portuguese Minister of Agriculture, Rural Development and Fisheries Jaime Silva arrives Monday on a two-day visit to
Tobacco production increases in 2008
The two main tendencies for 2008 in the tobacco sector are gradual return of the people in the tobacco production branch and increasing the land grown with tobacco, the executive director of Tobacco Fund Gursel Emin said. The tobacco from crop 2007 have been purchased and paid in due time. The highest price of BGN 7 is given for first class Basmi brand. Next year's crop will be the last one directly subsidized.
National Construction Control Directorate authorizes usage of ferry complex in Nikopol
The National Construction Control Directorate issued a permit for the usage of the
The project on the construction of the complex was financed under the Phare-financed
The sex industry in Bulgaria generates �1 billion income
The turnover from the sex industry in
New tenders for cancelled road projects
The National Road Infrastructure Agency (NRIA) will soon announce new tenders to choose companies to oversee the construction of the road from Kurdjali to Podkova and the connection of
Railroad carrier BDZ to receive � 613.6 M state aid until 2013
The state railroad company BDZ will receive BGN 1.2bn (EUR 613.6mn) from the state budget until 2013, transport minister Petar Mutafchiev informs. The funds will be spent on modernisation of the transport fleet and safety standards. The company may receive additional BGN 80mn from the budget this year due to significant overperformance. Several train accidents with fatalities and heavy injuries took place this year as a result of poor management and outdated vehicles in the state-run railway company.
EU subsidizes Bulgaria 's business with BGN 185 M
The European Union will allot 185 million levs (1 euro = 1.95 levs) as a subsidy to the Bulgarian business enterprises."We are launching four new procedures for funds distribution under the EU Operative Program for Competitive Power by the end of September," European Funds and Competitive Power Administration Director Ivet Zhablianova said. Nearly 25 million levs have been earmarked Support for the Developing of Innovations and Introducing Them to the Economy. About 68,5 million levs will go for Technological Improvement of Small and Medium Enterprises. The same amount has been envisaged for the Technological Improvement of Large Enterprises program. All enterprises that were launched prior to 2007 will share out a subsidy of 19,5 million levs to meet international standards.
Bulgarian fruit production comes out the crisis
EU subsidies and investments are helping the Bulgarian fruit-growing sector recover from the crisis of the 1990s, shows an analysis of the farming ministry. New orchards added 30 pct to 8,800 hectares from 2005 to 2007. Fruit production edged up to 104,000 tonnes in 2007 from 99,000 tonnes in 2005 and the total fruit tree areas reached 36,000 ha. Cherry trees covered 22 pct of newly planted orchards due to strong demand, followed by apple trees with 19 pct, plum trees with 16 pct and peach trees with 11 pct. Bulgarian fruits make just 10 pct of the local market and 30-40 pct in the summer season over the lack of modern conservation and packing capacities. The only export fruit is raspberry.
INVESTMENTS:
Green energy investments to top �500 М
Some 500 mln euro will be invested in wind farms in northeastern
PM says: Bulgarian FDI in past three years was �15 B
The 15 billion euro in foreign investment in
Greek Titan Group may pour �200 M into Lovech plant
Greek cement maker Titan Group is mulling plans to invest up to 200 million euro into boosting its production capacities in the northern Bulgarian town of
Greek firm to build logistic park in
Greek company Alpha Grissin plans to build a logistic park in
French Montuper to build plant in Rousse
The French company Montuper will build a plant for automobile spare parts in Rousse. The annual turnover of the new plant is expected to reach EUR 70 million in three years. The president of the company defined the investment as the second in production importance and the first in high technological aspect so far. The plant has opened 500 working places with plans to increase them to 1,300.
Agria Group Holding to invest � 25 M
The biggest project of Agria Group Holding agricultural company is building a plant for vegetable oils with capacity of 100,000 tons per year, its executive director Emil Raikov said for Pari Daily. The amount of the investment is EUR 20-25 millions. The company reports BGN 32.5 million consolidated revenues for the first half-year of 2008, which is 23% higher year on year. Net profit for the period is BGN 1.6 million, a 78% year-on-year increase.
Bulgaria to invest in small airports
The Ministry of Transport will most likely modernise the infrastructure of the airport at Gorna Oriahovitsa from the budget, the minister of transport Petar Mutafchiev said for Pari Daily. This is due to lack of interest from private companies to take the airport on concession. The main reason for this is the delay of procedure in transferring the ownership from military ministry to the transport ministry.
Willbrook to put �40 M in
Real estate company Willbrook Management International will build a 40 mln euro housing complex in
Lomsko Pivo to invest BGN 3.5 million
Denmark 's Brunata Bulgarian unit plans to build �2 M plant for heating substations
The Bulgarian unit of Danish heating and water billing solutions provider Brunata plans to invest around 2.0 million euro ($2.8 million) to build a plant for heating substations, a company official said on Wednesday. We are awaiting a building permit. The factory will open after six months at the earliest," a company manager in charge of the plant's construction, who wished to remain unnamed, told SeeNews. The factory will have an annual capacity of 2,000 heating substations. Part of its output will be exported, the manager said without elaborating. Brunata set foot in
German electrical equipment manufacturer Eichhoff opens �2.4 M plant in
German electrical components and systems manufacturer Eichhoff has invested 2.4 million euro ($3.4 million) to build a plant in
US financial crisis may attract non-transparent investors in Bulgaria
According to Bulgarian economic analysis, due to the financial crisis in
US army awards $61 M project for construction at Novo Selo training area
The US Army has awarded a two-year, 61.15 million dollar project for construction at the Joint Training Facility in
Portugal 's Martifer Renewables to develop wind parks in Bulgaria
Portuguese renewable energy firm Martifer Renewables has bought Bulgarian alternative energy firm Vesto to develop wind power generation parks in the European Union newcomer, one of the former Vesto owners said on Thursday. Martifer Renewables has recently bought 100% of Vesto," former co-owner Stoyan Malkochev told SeeNews from the Black Sea port of Varna, where Vesto is located, but declined to reveal the deal price. Portuguese diversified group Martifer said on Wednesday that Vesto is currently developing a 12.6 megawatt (MW) wind farm in northeastern
Volvo opens new BGN 2.8M maintenance centre in Bourgas
Volvo
COMPANIES:
Globul rolls out Samsung’s iPhone rival
Bulgarian cellphone operator Globul, owned by
Deutsche Bank acquires nearly 30% of Postbank
The biggest German bank, Deutsche Bank is going to acquire a 29,75% share of Postbank for nearly EUR 2,8 B, according to an announcement made by both companies.This way Deutsche Bank becomes the bigger shareholder of Postbank, 50% of which currently belong to Deutsche Post. The deal is going to be closed during the first trimester of 2009, pending approval. The estimated value of Postbank is over EUR 9 B.Deutsche Bank is the biggest German bank by the value of its assets while Postbank has the most customers in the area of small banking.This is just one of the several big deals in the German banking sector. Just two weeks ago, the second largest bank in Germany Commerbank AG purchased Dresdner Bank from Allianz.
Bulgaria 13 companies included in Deloitte CE Top 500 ranking
LUKoil Neftochim is the largest Bulgarian company, ranking 29th in Central and Eastern Europe , according to the recently published Deloitte's CE Top 500 list.The Deloitte Central Europe Top 500 charts companies' progress in the region, which stretches from the Adriatic to the Baltic and the Black seas and contains a raft of countries, all of which have either already joined the European Union or are at various stages of the EU accession process.The Deloitte report advises that reform policies and, above all, privatization, must be pursued by governments in Central Europe . only then will the region be able to maintain its impressive five percent growth rates that far outpace western Europe's economic performance and to catch up the countries in western Europe.The CE Top 500 ranking charts the fortunes of the largest 500 companies in the region by revenue, profits, employment and capitalization.The ranking shows little change from the previous year with PKN Orlen, Poland 's oil refiner and petroleum distributor, still at the top of the list with other energy companies including MOL of Hungary and CEZ of the Czech Republic close by.The other top slots are filled by automobile manufacturers led by the Volkswagen owned Skoda from the Czech Republic followed by Audi in Hungary and Volkswagen's own subsidiary in Slovakia .Telekomunikacja Polska, the telecommunications provider from Poland is the only non-energy related, non-auto company in the region's top 10.The biggest foreign investors by revenue are Volkswagen, the auto manufacturer, Arcelor Mittal, the multinational steel group, and Metro, the retailer. CEZ, the Czech energy giant leads the market capitalization ranking followed by two banks in Poland, Pekao SA, and PKO BP.Thirteen Bulgarian companies are also included in the CE Top 500 list, six of them are in the energy sector, three - in the industrial one, another three in the "Technologies, Media and Telecommunications" sector of and one in the trade and business sector.The top ten Bulgarian companies with their ranking are: Lukoil Neftochim (29), Lukoil Bulgaria (71), NEK (124), Cumerio Med (142), Petrol (258), Mobiltel (285), OMV (328), BTC (363), Kremikovtsi (381), Cez Electro (425).
Visitors of EXPO 2008 interested in Bulgaria
Half a million visitors have visited the Bulgarian pavilion at Expo 2008 held from June 14 to September 14 in Zaragoza, announced the organizers of the Bulgarian presentation at the International Plovdiv Fair. During Expo 2008 more than forty official delegations and celebrities, among them the world chess champion Veselin Topalov, visited the Bulgarian exposition. Guests from all over the world were inquiring about tourism in
Every third firm in Bulgaria involved in grey economy
Every third company in Bulgaria works in the grey economy, specialist from the Market Economy Institute and the Open Society Foundation say. Given that Bulgaria 's GDP for this year is 63 billion levs, the companies evade paying taxes on 21 billion levs. The evasion social insurances payment is the most common breach of business regulations that the company managers commit. Each year, some companies in the sectors of tourism and construction evade paying social insurances in the size of two billion. "Statistics show that the average monthly salaries of the waiters and the construction workers range between 300 and 500 levs. Practically, they are paid at least three times more," Georgi Angelov from the Open Society foundation said during an extraordinary sitting of the Parliamentary Budget and Finance Committee. "If we lower the insurance premiums and the income taxes, the share of the grey economy will shrink and the revenues to the budget will rise," he says. VAT is another source of finances that feed the grey economy.
"Many companies evade paying VAT, although the share of VAT evasion is considerably smaller than that of social insurances evasion," Angelov says. To his words, there are three ways of reducing the share of grey economy: first, by introducing lower taxes; second, by convincing the business that tax paying really makes sense and third, by showing the people good results of the state budget spending. "An efficient spending of the state budget may materialize in improvement of the healthcare and pension systems and an increase in the credit rating of the law enforcers," Angelov goes on. Over the first year since the introduction of ten-percent flat tax, the revenues to the budget from Corporate Tax increased by half a billion levs. The decrease in the social insurance premiums by three percent has resulted in an increase in the revenues to the Fisc by 370 million levs.
Over 130 companies to participate in BalPex
The autumn issue of BalPex real estate exhibition will take place in October 10-12 in Inter Expo Centre and will offer apartments in
Bulgaria creates new energy giant
Bulgaria said Thursday it was pooling its main energy assets into a single company, Bulgarian Energy Holding (BEH), to boost its position in regional and European energy markets. The ministry of economy and energy said in a statement it had started transferring to BEH the assets of Bulgaria 's state-run electricity and gas companies, the Kozloduy nuclear power plant, the main thermal heating plant and the largest coal mines. "With the establishment of the new holding structure, Bulgaria already has one of the biggest energy companies in the region," the statement said.BEH would be a national energy leader with consolidated assets of around 8.5 billion leva (4.3 billion euros, 6.2 billion dollars), annual revenues of some 3.6 billion leva (1.8 billion euros) and a combined workforce of 21,000.Bulgaria 's right-wing opposition in parliament and the industry attacked the move when it was announced in February, seeing it as retrogressive at a time when Europe breaking up energy monopolies in order to boost competition.
Critics aryge the move will strengthen the monopoly already existing in the sector.
ANALYSIS:
Bulgaria pays through the nose for high profits
Author: Emil Harsev, Financial analyst
Publication: Standart Daily
After yet another downward spiral of the mortgage crisis - the bankruptcy of the Lehman Brothers and the sale of Merrill Lynch into Bank of America - panic on the financial markets is unavoidable and national economies will for sure suffer significant losses. As for
Bulgarians not concerned about
Publication: Sofia Echo Daily Bulletin
A Transatlantic Trends 2008 survey shows that 46 per cent of the Bulgarians are not concerned about Russia ’s role as an energy provider. The results reveal that Bulgaria was the least concerned out of 13 countries. In comparison, only 13 per cent of the Polish, 21 per cent of the Germans, 23 per cent of the Romanians and 24 per cent of Britons and Italians each say they are not concerned. The percentage of Bulgarians who are concerned is 44, compared with 81 for Poland , 78 for Germany , 74 for Italy and 72 for Great Britain . The study, which examines American and European attitudes on a number of pressing international issues, was presented in Bulgaria on September 16 2008. It also reveals Bulgarians have the warmest feelings towards Russia , rating it 66 out of a possible 100, while Turkey scored it only 18. Save for Bulgaria , only one other country polled gave Russia more than a score of 50: Slovakia , with 52. During the presentation, organised by the Bulgarian edition of Foreign Policy magazine, experts slammed Bulgaria 's lack of initiative and passivity in international affairs, which were revealed by the survey results. “Bulgaria thinks of itself as a recipient rather than a generator of policies,” Ivan Krustev, Foreign Policy editor-in-chief and head of the Centre for Liberal Strategies said, explaining Bulgaria 's conduct was a typical of a poor country wanting only to receive and not to give. “In Bulgarian society there is a total lack of value-based approach towards matters of international policy,” Tipping Point's Svetoslav Bozhilov said and added that “if the data from the poll is presented to a person who doesn't know Bulgaria is a Nato and European Union member state, they'd probably assume it is a neutral country.” Other key findings, as summarised in a statement posted on the Transatlantic Trends website, show that nearly half of Europeans (47 per cent) believe that relations between the United States and Europe will improve if senator Barack Obama is elected the next US president, compared with only 11 per cent believing that transatlantic relations will improve if senator John McCain is elected. Conducted prior to the latest developments in the Caucasus, the survey reveals that Europeans continue to express concern about Russia ’s behaviour toward its neighbours and are more willing than Americans to provide security assistance for neighbouring democracies like Ukraine and Georgia and to increase support for democratic forces inside Russia . However, Europeans are less willing than Americans to support restrictions in co-operating with Russia in international organisations. Overall, the majority Americans and Europeans desire a closer transatlantic relationship and possess common values on a wide spectrum of issues that could lead to co-operation on international problems, the poll reveals. It shows there are shared concerns over a Russia reasserting itself internationally, that Nato support is on the rise in Europe and that Turkey is warming to the EU and US, but wishes to act alone on the international stage. Also, the majority of Europeans favour Obama, while Americans are split along party lines, the number of Europeans who want closer relations with the US is on the rise, terrorism and economic problems top the transatlantic agenda and Europeans continue to be more critical of president Bush than of the US . The Transatlantic Trends 2008 survey is a project of the German Marshall Fund of the United States and Compagnia di San Paolo (Italy), carried out with the additional support from the Fundacao Luso-Americana (Portugal), the Fundacion BBVA (Spain), and the Tipping Point Foundation (Bulgaria). It measures broad public opinion in the US and 12 European countries and annually gauges transatlantic relations.
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