BULGARIAN ECONOMIC TOP NEWS DIGEST
WEEKLY REPORT ( 30 APRIL – 10 MAY 2008 )
Sections/headline briefs:
MACROECONOMY:
· Bulgaria finance minister presents first trimester budget report
· General budget surplus surges to 2.7% of GDP in Q1
· Credit growth to continue
· Bulgaria ’s economic growth pace declines
· Bulgaria heating, power, water prices may go up by summer
· High prices shock Bulgarians
· Chinese jeeps to be manufactured in Bulgaria
· Preparations start for award of concession for Cherno More Motorway
· Government to earmark BGN 150 M for Trakia highway
· Regional Development Minister:
· Traffic jams cost
· Macedonia completes power line to Bulgaria
· Experts to consult establishment of Bulgarian energy holding
· Greeks conquer Bulgarian property market
· Bulgaria among Top 10 destinations in US tourist guide
· The Finnish tourists ignore Bulgaria
· Bulgaria to advertise tourism in Spain
· Bulgaria opens embassy in Estonia
·
· Bulgarian builders turn to Venezuela
INVESTMENTS:
· �25 M solar park to be built in Straldja
· Penny Market steps in Svilengrad
· AKB Fores earmarks �150 M for investment in 2008
· EU grants �700,000 to Bulgarian Dupnitza for project realizing
· Serbia's Delta Maxi to open 10 stores in Bulgaria
· 3MW power station to launch on
· First two malls to be built in Bourgas
· Eurosilex to build �20 M holiday village
· German "Heinemann" plans investments in Bulgaria
· New metallurgic factory to open in Bulgaria's Kurdzhali
·
COMPANIES:
·
· Siemens seeks to raise its market share in Bulgaria, Romania above 20% in 2008
· Peugeot looking at four locations for eastern European plant
· French Lagardere Services steps Bulgarian market
· Israeli company gets credit for Business Park Varna project
· Local water bottler ‘Devin' to become regional leader
· IKEA may re-direct investments from Poland to Bulgaria or Romania
· Companies to register chemicals for free
· Only two companies continue race for power plant Bobov Dol
· Ministry launches tender to select firm that will work out electronic health files
· Dell sees 2008 market gains in Bulgaria, Romania
· Bulgarian builders eye USD 12.5 B projects in Sochi
ANALYSIS:
· ECB sees 2008 inflation in Bulgaria, Romania remaining relatively high
· The obscure energy future
Articles:
MACROECONOMY:
Bulgaria finance minister presents first trimester budget report
Over BGN 610 million have been received from the European funds by the end of March. The data comes from a report about the national budget execution for the first trimester of 2008, prepared by Plamen Oresharski, Finance Minister of Bulgaria . The budget revenue has increased with 33,5% for the first trimester of the current year.The revenue together with the subsidies according to the consolidated fiscal program amount to a total of BGN 6,744 billion for the first trimester, while by the end of March, the revenues not originating from taxation are calculated at BGN 773,8 million, which is 24.9% from the yearly budget plans.The subsidies received from the EU structural and cohesion funds, the European Agricultural Fund for the Development of the Rural Areas and the European Angling Fund represent 31.6% from those planned in the yearly budget. The advanced payments from EU for the contracted operational programs amount to BGN 542, 5 million of the above subsidies.The budget expenses are calculated at BGN 5,08 billion while the interest payments amount to 42,9% from those planned for the entire year. The local municipalities have been given BGN 646,5 billion from the budget. The social insurance funds have received another BGN 643,6 million while the judiciary power has been afforded 23,2% more than the same period of last year or a total of BGN 88,6 million.The fiscal reserve by the end of March of 2008 is BGN 8,088 billion.
General budget surplus surges to 2.7% of GDP in Q1
The general budget surplus more than tripled to BGN 1.66bn (EUR 850.7mn) in Q1, data of the finance ministry reveals. The surplus accounted for 2.7% of the projected GDP as compared to 0.9% of GDP in Jan-Feb. Revenues surged by 33.4% y/y to BGN 6.7bn for the period (24.8% of the full-year plan), still influenced by one-off indirect tax growth effects in the base period but also pushed up by EU funds inflows. The latter reached BGN 432.5mn during the period and pushed up the budget surplus by 0.7pps of the projected GDP. The introduction of a flat 10% personal income tax to replace the progressive scale ranging from 0% to 24% as of the beginning of the year turned out to be positive in terms of revenues for the general budget as the line receipts increased by 15.3% y/y during the period. Expenditures advanced by 17.2% y/y to BGN 5.08bn or 20% of the full-year plan. The government is targeting a budget surplus of 3% of GDP this year in a bid to contain the large CA gap.
Credit growth to continue
Bulgarian banks continued to boost loan portfolios, though at a slower pace, a survey of the Agency for Economic Analysis and Forecast at the Bulgarian Finance Ministry, carried out among
Bulgaria ’s economic growth pace declines
Bulgaria heating, power, water prices may go up by summer
The key heating companies in Bulgaria have asked the State Commission for Energy and Water Regulation to raise heating prices with another 15% to 20% by the summer. They have cited the raising price of natural gas - 24% for the last three trimesters, as the main reason for such demand.The Commission's Director, Ivan Shushulov explained that the Commission's experts were currently examining the requested raise. Shushulov has stated that the determination of the new price of natural gas was forthcoming and would be established around July 1. The Commission has already received a prognosis from "Bulgargaz". According to Shushulov, the new raise requested by "Bulgargaz" was lower than the one they have asked for until now, but despite that, they would certainly not receive it.Shushulov also announced that the National Electric Company had filed an application in front of the Commission for a 20% electrical power supply price increase. The three electric distribution companies in Bulgaria - CEZ, EON and EVN are requesting a price jump between 9% and 12% for domestic consumers. The Commission is expected to make a decision about the new electrical power supply price in a few weeks. Shushulov has admitted that, at the moment, the Commission was not yet ready with the price determination.He has, however, confirmed that the water supply price for Sofia would be going up beginning this summer. The expected raise is BGN 1,22 including the Value Added Tax, as requested by the concessionaire "Sofia Water."
This request will be granted because "Sofia Water" has complied already with the conditions imposed by the Commission in its capacity as Water Regulator.
High prices shock Bulgarians
High prices stir panic among Bulgarians. Consumers observe with a troubled eye the increasing inflation, according to the data from a survey by the National Statistical Institute (NSI). People's pessimism and anxiety tends to reach the levels of 1997 crisis when prices changed a couple of times a day. The urban population is especially concerned about the increasing deficiency in the household budgets. In the end of March the accumulated inflation was already 14,2% without the expected increase of electricity, central heating, gas and water rates. In this case the discussion that the Government is to enter about whether to raise pensions by 9.5% or 10.35% seems far from people's real problems. Over the last year prices have grown too much, 77,6% of the Bulgarians believe and 37,8% of the people in this country are sure they will continue growing. Other 42,2% even say that prices will increase at the same rates. The European Central Bank warned of the factual risk that the inflation in Bulgaria would continue rising, reported Trading Markets. The ECB report specifies that the prices growth is related to the expected rise of energy products prices, also of prices of food and state-controlled products' prices. The prices rise led to people's increased eagerness to buy. The last poll by the NSI for April this year outlines Bulgarians' larger intentions to buy a car, estate or to undertake renovations of their home in the next twelve months.
Chinese jeeps to be manufactured in Bulgaria
Off-roaders costing US$10,000 will be manufactured in the town of Lovech , central Bulgaria . Litex company, owned by Bulgarian football boss, Grisha Ganchev, is a step away from signing a licensing agreement with a Chinese manufacturer of the vehicles. The name of the new company will be Litex Motors. Grisha Ganchev will hold 92% of the shares, while the rest 8% will be of Corporate Commercial bank. The name of the Chinese company cannot be made public yet, as the deal has not been finalized. It is planned that the factory would be built within a year, sources close to the deal informed the Standart. The idea is to produce low-cost cars to meet the needs of all countries on the Balkans. The most expensive jeeps with all extras will cost US$20,000.
Preparations start for award of concession for Cherno More Motorway
The Government has given the Finance Minister two weeks to appoint a team to make the preparation for the award of a concession for the construction of the Cherno More motorway, which will follow the Black Sea coast and link the cities of Varna and Bourgas, the government information service reported Wednesday.The motorway will be part of Pan-European Transport Corridor VIII between the Adriatic and Black Seas, as well as part of the proposed 7,500-km Black Sea Ring Road. The motorway is among the priority projects for transport infrastructure included in the 2006-15 National Integrated Infrastructurе Development Strategy.In March 2007, the Bulgarian government asked the European Investment Bank and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development for assistance in the preparation of the concession projects for the Cherno More and Haemus motorways. An interdepartmental working group was set up under the guidance of the Regional Development Minister to liaise with the banks during the feasibility study (for the motoways' reconstruction/modernization), operation, maintenance and financing by public-private partnerships (concessions) before preparatory actions are taken under the Concessions Act. The team that will be expected to prepare the concession procedure will be headed by the Regional Development Minister and will include representatives of five ministries (Finance, Regional Development and Public Works, Transport, Environment and Water, Agriculture and Foods), the National Roads Infrastricture Fund and the government administration.
Government to earmark BGN 150 M for Trakia highway
The Bulgarian government plans to allocate BGN 150 million from the state budget for the completion of the Trakia highway, the Pari daily learned. These funds were left untouched in the budget for paying the new project executors in case the concession with the Bulgarian-Portuguese consortium failed, the Pari daily learned.The deadline set by the minister of regional development and public works Assen Gagauzov for the tie-up to secure a credit for the completion of the project is May 10. Until present, there are no indications that the consortium has found the necessary funding. A month ago, Gagauzov warned that in case the money is not provided, the contract will be terminated and a new procedure for concession of the remaining three lots of the highway will be opened.The sum BGN 150 million will be enough to start construction of the remaining sections of Trakia, experts say.
Regional Development Minister:
The Struma motorway is the first big infrastructure project to have a compatibility assessment, which also backs the environmental impact assessment,
Traffic jams cost
Macedonia completes power line to Bulgaria
Experts to consult establishment of Bulgarian energy holding
A public procurement will soon be underway to select a consultant for the project on the establishment of a Bulgarian energy holding, said Iva Petrova, director of the Energy Markets and Restructuring Directorate with the Ministry of Economy and Energy. In an interview with Focus News Agency she added that the public procurement will be announced soon and all requirements for transparency, competition promotion and procedural regulations provided in the Public Procurement Act would be met. She noted that the effective and efficient implementation of the project required specific knowledge in the areas of energy and corporate management. “
Greeks conquer Bulgarian property market
True Greek invasion is happening in the moment on the property market in Bulgaria in the last two years, comments the Greek business edition ‘Imerisia', quoted by local Investor.bg. There is an interest by constructional companies, mostly from North Greece, that build many residential complexes, trade centers and office buildings in Romania, Bulgaria, Croatia, Albania and recently in Macedonia.All this is accompanied by individual investors that buy properties on cheap price, which give on loan after that or use for vacation.Despite the considerable increase of prices of real estates in
Bulgaria among Top 10 destinations in US tourist guide
The Internet issue ‘E-Media Wire' published tourist guide for 2008 for best tourist destinations as this year the edition includes Bulgaria, money.bg announced. The author and selctioneer of the guide Pauline Fromer listed the 10 Top tourist destination by the criteria of expends, romantic journey, family tourism and exotic destinations for travelers, looking for adventures.
The Finnish tourists ignore Bulgaria
The number of Finnish tourists in the last years decreases. The unpleasant tendency was commented by the
Bulgaria to advertise tourism in Spain
Bulgaria opens embassy in Estonia
The Bulgarian market for telecommunication services rose close to 30% to 3.9 bln levs in 2007, shows preliminary data of the local telecom regulator. In 2006, the telecom market posted a 10% year-on-year growth, reaching just over 3 bln levs or around 6% of the nation's GDP. Mobile services were the main growth engine in 2007, contributing more than half of total telecom revenues. In related news, chairman of the Communications Regulation Commission Veselin Bozhkov said there is no legal obstacle to nation's three wireless carriers - Mobiltel, vivatel and Globul, joining the fray for GSM frequencies in the 1,800 megahertz spectrum although they are yet to indicate their interest in the procedure. 'The market needs new players and besides, the frequency resource on offer is expensive and not worth it if you buy just for the sake of having it,' said Bozhkov. The official said the frequency resource that the CRC will auction off will be priced at around 35-40 mln levs. Alternative telecom Max Telecom is the only candidate for the resource so far. Bozhkov expects that after the first moves that were made to lower the wholesale tariffs for landline to mobile calls would convince the operators to voluntarily engaged in further tariff cuts by the end of 2008. 'If that does not happen, the CRC will step in to make sure the price of the service levels off with its cost,' said Bozhkov. In related news, Plamen Vachkov, chairman of the Sate Agency for Information Technologies and Communications, said that the main section of a nationwide information network being deployed for the purposes of the state administration will be in place by the end of 2008. The agency will be in charge of running the network but it will provide access to other last-mile operators like BTC, wireless and alternative telecoms. 'We have no ambitions to go head to head on a market where the operators do their main business. The task for the agency is to put in place the necessary backbone,' said Vachkov.
Bulgarian builders turn to Venezuela
There are strong chances Bulgarian firms to realize projects in the constructions field in
INVESTMENTS:
�25 M solar park to be built in Straldja
The
By 2010, energy produced from solar panels will increase by three times to 1,000 kW, Velizar Kiryakov, chairman of the Association of Producers of Ecological Energy, told the Pari daily. The current capacity is relatively low, about 10 kW, but it will reach about 300 kW after the construction of planned solar parks.
Penny Market steps in Svilengrad
The first sod for a hypermarket of the German discount retail chain Penny Market was turned in Svilengrad, southeastern
Svilengrad is the smallest town in
AKB Fores earmarks �150 M for investment in 2008
EU grants �700,000 to Bulgarian Dupnitza for project realizing
700, 000 EUR will receive
Serbia's Delta Maxi to open 10 stores in Bulgaria
By the end of the year Serbian Delta Maxi plans to open 10 new supermarkets in
3MW power station to launch on
Bulgarian company Vez Svoge, 90%-owned by
First two malls to be built in Bourgas
Eurosilex to build �20 M holiday village
Bulgarian-French Eurosilex will invest nearly EUR 20 million in the construction of a holiday complex on the northern Black-Sea coast. The project,
German "Heinemann" plans investments in Bulgaria
One of the biggest operators of duty free trade in the world – the German “Heinemann” has serious investment intentions towards the Bulgarian market, writes “Pari” newspaper. The company has officially deposited its interest in a letter to the Bulgarian prime minister Sergei Stanishev. The letter is signed by Christoph Hoisser, member of the board of directors of “Heinemann” on 29 April. “Heinemann” wishes to work together with the Bulgarian duty free operators through a management contract by undertaking the overall management and control of the activity. The company intends to invest in the establishment of modern trade places at the Bulgarian land border points.“We want to participate in the development of the market by diversifying the portfolio of goods with international trade marks and also by our experience and know how in the supply and the operation of the European border shops”, says the letter. “Heinemann” has projects in the
New metallurgic factory to open in
A new zinc plant equipped with the latest environment-friendly technology will be built in the southern Bulgarian city of
The investment amount of BGN 160 million is expected for the new "
The sum could end up even higher, according to statements made in front of sports reporters today by the contractor "Project Management Company" and the investor "Sports Complex Varna". 65% of the investor's shares belong to "Himimport" while the remaining 35% are owned by the
COMPANIES:
Plovdiv 's International Spring Fair draws 970 companies
The International Spring Fair in
Siemens seeks to raise its market share in Bulgaria , Romania above 20% in 2008
German engineering company Siemens will seek to raise its enterprise communications market share in
Peugeot looking at four locations for eastern European plant
Peugeot Citroen is considering locations in Poland , Ukraine , Turkey and Romania for the second of two new plants set to produce low-emission engines, a spokesman said.Laurent Cicolella said the investment was likely to prove similar to the first 300 million euros factory for the engines planned in France , denying a Polish newspaper report that it was planning a larger 600 mln euro investment. 'The first plant will come on line in France and is planned to cost around 300 million,' he said. 'The second is planned to be similar, although it is a greenfield investment and may cost a little more. There are four potential locations being considered - in Poland , Ukraine , Romania and Turkey .' He said the eastern European plant, like its French twin, should employ around 500, not the 5,000 reported by Polish daily Puls Biznesu Tuesday. 'This report just appears to be wrong,' Cicolella said. The paper earlier reported a source involved in talks with the company as saying: 'Last week, representatives of Peugeot Citroen were in Poland . They are looking at sites for an investment of 600 mln euros, as a result of which 5,000 jobs will be created. They are looking for a site of around 400 hectares.'
French Lagardere Services steps Bulgarian market
‘Lagardere' Services, French company that deals with travel, high-street retail and press distribution, is recruiting staff for the launch of operations in Bulgaria, the Dnevnik a.m. reported. The first Lagardere outlets in
Israeli company gets credit for Business Park Varna project
Israeli conglomerate Africa Israel Investments announced on Sunday its subsidiary AFI Europe signed a deal with Investcredit bank for 59 million EUR, Reuters reported. The sum is foreseen to finance the Business Park Varna project in Bulgarian seaside city of
Local water bottler ‘Devin' to become regional leader
Local water bottler ‘Devin', owned by Austrian ‘Soravia Group', intends to acquire up to three beverage companies in the Balkans in the next two years. This was reported by Tsvetan Lazhanski, chief executive of ‘Devin', quoted by Reuters.‘Devin' bottler, which has 30% of the Bulgarian market, may invest up to 50 million EUR per acquisition without mentioning targets or countries.Part of our strategy is to make Devin a regional leader, Tsvetan Lazhanski told Reuters in an interview.The chief executive foresees increase of 15% in earnings due to future new bottling line and export boost. He also added that expects similar stable growth over the following five years.
IKEA may re-direct investments from Poland to Bulgaria or Romania
Swedish furniture retailer IKEA threatened to freeze the bulk of its investments in Poland and redirect them to Bulgaria or Romania , Polish business daily Puls Biznesu reported. The company has apparently been ired by legislative limitations regarding the operation of large commercial sites. In particular, Poland introduced legal changes, which narrowed the range of opportunities for their operations and curbed investments in the field. Wojciech Dzwonkowski, an investment consultant at IKEA Centre Polska said the restrictions hurt IKEA's expansion plans, particularly those in Lodz and Poznan .These investments are worth 300 million euro and are to create 3000 jobs.Plans of IKEA in Poland were to open eight new IKEA stores and malls, each worth 200 million euro. IKEA plans to build three hypermarkets in Bulgaria . They are to be opened between 2009 and 2011. In its first move toward entry in Bulgaria , in early 2008 it bought a land plot in Sofia .
Companies to register chemicals for free
Preliminary registration of chemicals under the regulation on registration, evaluation, authorisation and restriction of chemicals (REACH) will be free of charge, the ministry of environment and water said. The procedure will start on June 1, when the regulation will enter into force, and will continue until December 1, 2008. The purpose of the REACH regulation is to oblige companies to prove that they use only harmless substances. Registration will be done online on the website of the European Chemicals Agency.Another registration will be carried out from December 1, 2010 for chemicals produced and imported in quantities over 1,000 tonnes per year. Two years later, chemicals in quantities between 101 tonnes and 1,000 tonnes will be registered, and finally in 2018, quantities between 1 tonne and 100 tonnes will be registered. All these registrations will require payment.
Only two companies continue race for power plant Bobov Dol
The privatisation agency informs that two companies, Consortium Energia MK and Mining Company, have submitted certification requests for participation in the tender for the coal-fired power plant in Bobov Dol before the Apr 25 deadline. Both companies are directly or indirectly controlled by local energy tycoon Hristo Kovachki, who is also in control of the coal supplies to the power plant. Three other contenders have purchased tender documents but are not interested in the next rounds of the competition -- the Greek companies Damco Energy and Sencap SA as well as
Ministry launches tender to select firm that will work out electronic health files
Bulgaria ’s Ministry of Healthcare will launch a tender to select a firm that will work out electronic health files to all Bulgarian citizens, Minister of Healthcare Dr. Evgeniy Zhelev said at the sitting of the Supreme Council of the Bulgarian Socialist Party, Focus News Agency reported. According to the minister the drafting of electronic health files will last between a year and a half and two years. In his report presented at the sitting, Minister Zhelev mentioned several problems in the field of healthcare, among which are insufficient number of nurses, concentration of medical equipment in some hospitals that did not use it enough, and others. He underlined the necessity of rules for health planning and better hospital financing.
Dell sees 2008 market gains in
A pipeline of product launches and expansion of the retail network will enable
Bulgarian builders eye USD 12.5 B projects in Sochi
The Bulgarian Construction Chamber and nine big companies in the sector set up an association, Bulgarian Builder, to assist Bulgarian companies applying for projects abroad, the chairman of the association, Valentin Nikolov, said. Bulgarian Builder's first target will be the Russian town of Sochi , which will host the Olympic Games in 2014.
Our interest in Sochi expands beyond the Olympic Games. The Russian government has longer-term plans for the region that include construction projects for more than USD 12.5 billion, Valentin Nikolov pointed out. The participation of Bulgarian companies in the tenders in Sochi was discussed during ex Russian president Vladimir Putin's visit to Bulgaria . Bulgarian Builder will open an office in Sochi and consult its members about the pending tender procedures. Founders of the association are companies with a total annual turnover of more than BGN 1 billion.
ANALYSIS:
ECB sees 2008 inflation in Bulgaria , Romania remaining relatively high
Publication: SeeNews
The European Central Bank (ECB) on Wednesday said it expects inflation in
The obscure energy future
Publication: Banker Weekly
Just some ten days ago it became clear that the building of the new power station on the site of the Maritsa-Iztok 1 thermoelectric power plant (TPP) by the
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